https://ii.variablize.app/ Daily sized Top4 prediction-market gaps; Friday locked weekly macro summary; quarterly Idiot Index snapshot. No daily validation/asset noise items. en-us Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:38:00 +0800 https://ii.variablize.app/?view=forward&d=2026-10-31 parallax-will-openai-not-ipo-by-december-31-2026-2026-10-31 Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:38:00 +0800 Daily Prediction-Market Divergence Odds 94.3% (-0.4pp (24h)) | NVDA $204.64 (-4.22%) · PWR $620.73 (-2.27%) · VRT $232.5 (-5.46%) | size vol24=19062.871933999995 liq=60662.09547 vol=885329.0917260002 | raw_gap_pp=55.52 | Odds 94.3% for “Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?”. NVDA/PWR/VRT check; gap 60/100. https://ii.variablize.app/?view=forward&d=2026-10-31 parallax-will-1-fed-rate-hike-happen-in-2026-20260623190852890-2026-10-31 Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:38:00 +0800 Daily Prediction-Market Divergence Odds 25.5% (-2.0pp (24h)) | SGOV $100.73 (+0.02%) · GC=F $3898.9 (-3.29%) · UUP $29.0 (-0.14%) | size vol24=43005.40403599999 liq=68420.6103 vol=675230.063758 | raw_gap_pp=39.25 | Odds 25.5% for “Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?”. Gold/200DMA, UUP, T-bills; gap 42/100. https://ii.variablize.app/?view=forward&d=2026-10-31 parallax-will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026-2026-10-31 Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:38:00 +0800 Daily Prediction-Market Divergence Odds 97.0% (-0.2pp (24h)) | SGOV $100.73 (+0.02%) · GC=F $3898.9 (-3.29%) · UUP $29.0 (-0.14%) | size vol24=28126.248322000007 liq=511475.16024 vol=9320607.108932002 | raw_gap_pp=32.2 | Odds 97.0% for “Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?”. Gold/200DMA, UUP, T-bills; gap 37/100. https://ii.variablize.app/?view=forward&d=2026-10-31 parallax-will-openais-market-cap-be-between-750b-and-1t-at-market-close-on-ipo-day-by-december-31-2027-383-2026-10-31 Sat, 31 Oct 2026 12:38:00 +0800 Daily Prediction-Market Divergence Odds 6.7% (+3.7pp (24h)) | NVDA $204.64 (-4.22%) · PWR $620.73 (-2.27%) · VRT $232.5 (-5.46%) | size vol24=47725.573755 liq=36642.10198 vol=124316.094589 | raw_gap_pp=32.12 | Odds 6.7% for “Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?”. NVDA/PWR/VRT check; gap 36/100. https://ii.variablize.app/?view=industrial&d=2026-10-30 primus-idiot-2026-Q4 Fri, 30 Oct 2026 10:22:00 +0800 Quarterly Idiot Index data_mode=hybrid; coeff=semi_manual_sample; prices=live. Upstream Leontief N ≈ (I − A)⁻¹ − I on a curated 15-sector A matrix (semi-manual sample coeffs; OECD-TiVA-inspired — not a live TiVA download). Physical floors scale with latest Copper $6.569/lb and Brent $113.31/bbl futures (not cash spot); price_mode=live. I_Blended = 0.55·min(